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Archive for August, 2009

Real conservatism for SAMA

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 31st August 2009

reversion to status-quo before 15 August 1971

The Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Abdullah bin Abdelaziz Al Saud, King of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, on Sunday 30 August 2009, appointed Dr Abdulrahman al-Humaidi as new Deputy Governor of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), the Central Bank of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. (1)

We are told that there should not be any change as far as SAMA’s policies are concerned. It is the Governor, Dr. Muhammad Bin Sulaiman Bin Muhammad Al-Jasser, who takes all the decisions at SAMA. (1, again)

It is however not because the SAMA Governor continues to take the decisions that His new Deputy be prevented from suggesting real solutions to 36 years old oil crisis.

SAMA to keep current “conservative” monetary policy, says the Al Watan daily. (2)

And do we have to understand that
“conservatism” was inaugurated on 15 August 1971
when US president Nixon broke the Bretton Woods agreements
which linked the US dollar to gold at fixed parity
and all other currencies to the said dollar?

What if SAMA reverted to the conservative status quo ante,
the status-quo before 15 August 1971?

It was the breaking of that status quo that led in 1973, that is 36 years ago, to the first oil crisis.

We are still suffering from this breach of the “conservatism” which existed before 15 August 1971.

Wouldn’t a really-conservative monetary policy return to that status quo ante?

What about fighting for oil pricing in FreeGold”

Ivo Cerckel
honestmoney@maktoob.com
http://twitter.com/ivocerckel/

NOTES

(1)
Saudi king appoints central bank deputy head
Aug 30, 2009 at 17:25
http://business.maktoob.com/20090000369298/Saudi_king_appoints_central_bank_deputy_head/Article.htm
SNIP
Saudi Arabia’s King Abdullah has appointed Abdulrahman al-Humaidi as deputy governor of the kingdom’s central bank, the official news agency SPA reported on Sunday.
The appointment should not lead to any policy changes at the central bank, known as the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), analysts say.

(2)
Saudi to leave monetary policy unchanged
Aug 31, 2009 at 13:46
http://business.maktoob.com/20090000369446/Saudi_to_leave_monetary_policy_unchanged/Article.htm
SNIP
Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), will keep its current “conservative monetary policy”, Al Watan daily reported on Monday, citing SAMA’s newly appointed deputy governor Abdulrahman al-Humaidi.

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1 Sept 2009 birth Asian single currency

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 31st August 2009

GCC foreign ministers to meet in Jeddah
http://www.saudigazette.com.sa/index.cfm?method=home.regcon&contentID=2009082848104
SNIP
RIYADH – Foreign ministers of the member countries of the Riyadh-based Gulf Cooperation Council will hold their 112th ordinary meeting in Jeddah on Sept. 1
+
The meeting will also discuss the progress of negotiations of friendly economic blocs
UNSNIP

GCC negotiations with friendly economic blocs?

This is the opportunity to introduce the GCC single currency
merged with the Chinese yuan
for ASEAN, the Association of South-East Asian Nations.

Ivo Cerckel
honestmoney@maktoob.com
http://twitter.com/ivocerckel/

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Dubai, Maktoob & Yahoo!

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 26th August 2009

U.S. internet giant Yahoo! signed a deal to acquire Arab world’s largest online media company, Maktoob.
Dubai has the opportunity to follow Erhard’s and Greenspan’s examples and repeal antitrust laws.
Dubai has the opportunity to introduce the GCC single currency merged with the Chinese yuan for ASEAN.

In an 21 August 2009 post, I argued that that the planet’s collapse is starting in Dubai. (1)

If the planet’s collapse starts in Dubai, Dubai will also be the first place to rebuild the planet.

“We” have two options to rebuild it.

Either “we” continue doing what “we” did before, that is, letting Leviathan regulate everything thereby causing the collapse.

Or “we” can opt for the way Ludwig Erhard chose in Germany after the second wold war.

In 1948, Erhard was elected Director of Economics by the Bizonal Economic Council. On 20 June 1948, the Deutsche Mark
(Ivo: the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) single currency merged with the Chinese yuan for ASEAN, the Association of South-East Asian Nations?)
was introduced.
Erhard abolished the price-fixing and production controls that had been enacted by the military administration. (2)

Microsoft Corp. and Yahoo! are merging. The merger could still be blocked by the antitrust authorities, so-called authorities.

As Alan Greenspan, former chairman of the US of A central bank, said more than 45 years ago:
The world of antitrust is reminiscent of Alice’s Wonderland: everything seemingly is, yet apparently isn’t, simultaneously. It is a world in which competition is lauded as the basic axiom and guiding principle, yet “too much” competition is condemned as “cutthroat.” It is a world in which actions designed to limit competition are branded as criminal when taken by businessmen, yet praised as “enlightened” when initiated by the government. It is a world in which the law is so vague that businessmen have no way of knowing whether specific actions will be declared illegal until they hear the judge’s verdict — after the fact.  (3)

Monday’s news is that U.S. internet giant Yahoo! signed a deal to acquire Arab world’s largest online media company, Maktoob, for an undisclosed fee. (4)

Will this deal also be “scrutinised” by the antitrust authorities, so-called authorities?

We’ll see.

Maktoob today have more than 280 employees with offices in Amman, Dubai, Cairo, Riyadh, and Kuwait. (5)

Dubai has the opportunity to show the wold how Greenspan was right when he said antitrust laws are immoral.

Dubai has the opportunity to show the world how to follow Erhard’s example.

Dubai has the opportunity to introduce the GCC single currency merged with the Chinese yuan for ASEAN.

Dubai has the opportunity to repeal the price-fixing and production controls.

Dubai has the opportunity to repeal antitrust laws.

Ivo Cerckel
honestmoney@maktoob.com
http://twitter.com/ivocerckel/

NOTES

(1)
planet’s collapse is starting in Dubai
Posted by Ivo Cerckel on August 21st, 2009
http://bphouse.com/honest_money/2009/08/21/planet%e2%80%99s-collapse-is-starting-in-dubai/

(2)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ludwig_Erhard

(3)
ANTITRUST, BY ALAN GREENSPAN, Based on a paper given at the Antitrust Seminar of the National Association of Business Economists, Cleveland, September 25, 1961. Published by Nathaniel Branden Institute, New York, 1962,
reprinted in: Ayn Rand, (ed.) , “Capitalism – the Unknown Ideal”, Signet Books, 1967
http://www.polyconomics.com/ssu/ssu-980612.htm

(4)
Business Media Yahoo! to acquire Maktoob.com
Aug 25, 2009 at 00:32
By Dylan Bowman http://business.maktoob.com/20090000367702/Yahoo!_to_acquire_Maktoob_com/Article.htm

(5)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maktoob

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More new ground broken in Saudi US conflict of laws

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 22nd August 2009

Anyone who has a US bank account to which money is sent by a third party, can, in cases concerning that money, be sued by that party in the US.

In an 20 July 2009 post, I asked how the US courts could have jurisdiction in the dispute between the Saudi conglomerates Algosaibi and Saad Group. (1)

The only possible answer I could come up with was that Saad Group’s debts to Algosaibi were denominated in Saudi riyal, that the riyal is pegged to the US dollar and that, therefore, the US courts have jurisdiction. (1, again)

I said that if this was the case, then new ground was being broken in the area of the conflict of laws. (1, again)

Abu Dhabi’s The National newspaper carries the following story:

Mashreq takes Al Gosaibi to US court
Asa Fitch
Last Updated: August 20, 2009 4:42PM GMT
http://www.thenational.ae/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20090820/BUSINESS/708209926/1005
SNIP
A judge in New York will next week hear arguments in a US$150 million (Dh550.9m) case filed by the Dubai-based Mashreqbank against Ahmad Hamad Al Gosaibi and Brothers, a Saudi conglomerate allegedly hit by a huge fraud.
The case is part of a continuing tussle between Al Gosaibi and its creditors, [...]
+
The lawsuit was filed in the US because Mashreq sent its $150m to an Al Gosaibi account in New York. UNSNIP

So Mashreqbank says that it is because Algosaibi has a bank account in New York,
bank account to which Mashreqbank sent the money,
that Algosaibi can be taken to court in new York.

More new ground is being broken in the area of the conflict of laws; the US requirements of justice or the requirements of US justice demand that anyone who has a US bank account to which money is sent by a third party, can, in cases concerning that money, be sued by that party in the US.

Ivo Cerckel
honestmoney@maktoob.com
http://twitter.com/ivocerckel/

NOTE

(1)
FT and Reuters break new ground in conflict of laws
Posted by Ivo Cerckel on July 20th, 2009
http://bphouse.com/honest_money/2009/07/20/ft-new-ground/
[If the link does not work, try to copy it and paste it in your browser]

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planet’s collapse is starting in Dubai

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 21st August 2009

Everything collapses in Dubai

A very simple image illustrates the global insolvency characteristic of today’s global financial system: the financial base upon which banks, insurers and global financial institutions were resting, is collapsing in the same way as a city built on a huge fault would collapse. (1)

A real-life building collapse happened this month in Dubai. (2) (3)

Dubai is a perfect example of this image of a city built on soft ground (in this case, on sand); indeed, the Emirate is now experiencing a general price collapse of all the wonderful real estate investments made in the past few years. (4)

Just one year ago, property prices in Dubai were surging to record peaks undeterred by a real estate slump in major markets, but they have since gone into free fall and have yet to find the bottom. Dubai house prices are plunging into uncharted territory, said AFP four days ago. (5)

This planet’s collapse is starting in Dubai where the financial base upon which banks, insurers and global financial institutions were resting is collapsing in the same way as a city built on a huge fault would collapse.

“Omnia cadunt et morituri moriuntur.”
Everything collapses and the mortals will die.

Ivo Cerckel
honestmoney@maktoob.com
http://twitter.com/ivocerckel/

(1)
Two major processes at the centre of the phase of global geopolitical dislocation
- Excerpt GEAB N°32 (February 16, 2009)
http://www.leap2020.eu/Two-major-processes-at-the-centre-of-the-phase-of-global-geopolitical-dislocation_a3694.html

(2)
Twitter spreads news of Dubai building collapse around the world
By Adam Flinter, hub editor
Published: August 16, 2009, 19:40
http://www.gulfnews.com/nation/General/10340901.html
Dubai: As news of the building collapse in Deira broke, thousands of people were following the latest developments on micro-blogging site Twitter.

(3)
From The Sunday Times August 16, 2009
Dubai collapse sparks £3bn in legal claims
(Steve Crisp/Reuters)
Grinding to a halt: British firms are owed £400m
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/construction_and_property/article6797762.ece
SNIP
The collapse of Dubai’s once-booming construction industry has created a backlog of legal claims totalling almost £3 billion.
Disputes over unfinished contracts and outstanding payments are stacking up in the emirate’s arbitration court, according to Building magazine.

(4)
Note to the text quoted in note (1)
Two major processes at the centre of the phase of global geopolitical dislocation
referring to
Dubai Property Prices May Fall Up to 50 Per Cent: Research Issac John
2 February 2009 http://www.khaleejtimes.com/darticlen.asp?xfile=data/business/2009/February/business_February61.xml§ion=business

(5)
Dubai house prices plunge into uncharted territory
By Ali Khalil (AFP) – 4 days ago
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5hyQZBDKz-1scTSlHP2F0HtrpoNxA
SNIP
DUBAI — Just one year ago, property prices in Dubai were surging to record peaks undeterred by a real estate slump in major markets, but they have since gone into free fall and have yet to find the bottom.

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Jackson Hole should repeal central banking

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 21st August 2009

From The Times:
August 21, 2009
What now for the world’s central bankers at Jackson Hole?
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/economics/article6804431.ece
by Andrew Balls 
SNIP
As the world’s central bankers gather in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, for their annual retreat, it would be no surprise if they opt for a quiet walk in the beautiful Grand Teton National Park during breaks in the programme, rather than the white-water rafting that is also on offer. UNSNIP

From Ivo:

Central banking has provided us with such such niceties as irredeemable, at least unbacked, paper money and fractional-reserve banking.

Houston, we’ve got a problem!

The business of a central bank should be to look after the currency it is issuing. If central banks did that, financial stability would automatically ensue.

The Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium should be bold and repeal central banking.

Ivo Cerckel
honestmoney@maktoob.com
http://twitter.com/ivocerckel/

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Naar Den Haag

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 19th August 2009

Een commentaar van Bart Haeck onder de titel “Weg uit Brussel” vandaag in De Tijd stelt dat het onderzoek in de corruptie-zaak “rond”. rechter De Tandt, advocaat Peeters , gerechtelijke polis Audenaert  en consoorten uit Brussel weg moet en aan het rechtsgebied van één van de vier andere hoven van beroep van het Koninkrijk België dient toegekend. (1)

 

“Justitie heeft als taak conflicten tussen mensen op een beschaafde manier op te lossen.” , stelt de commentaar.

 

Er zijn echter persoonlijke vetes in dit land. Deze vetes gaan tegen de beschaving in.

 

Glenn Audenaert, hoofd van de gerechtelijke politie van het Koninkrijk België, wordt betaald d.m.v. belastingen (op “wit” geld).

 

Audenaert is kwaad op advocaat Robert Peeters,

niet omdat Peeters vonnissen opstelt voor rechter De Tandt (dat is niet onbeschaafd),

maar omdat Peeters zwart geld (geen “wit” geld dus) bovenhaalt bij vrienden van Audenaert.

 

Dat door Peeters witgewaste zwart geld kan alsdan de gronslag vormen voor beschaafde belastingen.

 

Audenaert is daar tegen. Hij wenst dus niet langer betaald te worden.

 

Audenaert denkt dat de Belgische Staat hem kan betalen zonder beschaafde belastingen.

 

Hoe kan dit nou beschaafd gebeuren zonder belastingen?

 

Een beschaafde oplossing zou erin bestaan om over te gaan tot de onmiddellijke her-annexering door het Koninkrijk der Nederlanden van het grondgebied van het Koninkrijk België dat zonder beschaafde belastingen toch niet kan overleven.

 

De Belgische onder-danen zullen de Hollanders dankbaar zijn om hen (de Belgen) van de onbeschaafde afgrond geholpen te hebben door hen (weer die domme Belgen) toe te laten beschaafde belastingen te betalen.

 

Ivo Cerckel
honestmoney@maktoob.com
http://twitter.com/ivocerckel/

 

NOOT

 

 (1)

Weg uit Brussel

Bart Haeck
De Tijd
 19/08/2009

http://www.tijd.be/nieuws/commentaar/Weg_uit_Brussel.8221184-620.art

UITREKSEL

De sleutel om dat scenario te vermijden ligt bij het Brusselse hof van beroep, dat in deze zaak de onderzoeksrechter moet aanstellen. Het zou – uiteraard binnen de grenzen van de wet – alle kansen moeten aangrijpen om zich in deze onbevoegd te verklaren en de zaak naar een ander hof van beroep te verwijzen: dat van Antwerpen, Gent, Bergen of Luik. Alleen op die manier wordt het mogelijk het beeld van een falende Brusselse justitie en het ons-kent-ons-verwijt te doen verdwijnen.
Justitie heeft als taak conflicten tussen mensen op een beschaafde manier op te lossen. Het moet zelf zo snel mogelijk uit die conflictsfeer geraken om die taak te kunnen uitoefenen. Om dat vertrouwen terug te winnen moet het onderzoek uit Brussel weg.

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Saudi banking system should be fully capitalised

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 19th August 2009

Look who’s talking!

“The [Saudi] banking system [...] remains [...] well-capitalised with low non-performing loans”,
says the International Monetary Fund . (1)

Should the Saudi banking system not be fully capitalised?

Or do IMF rules prevent that?

Ivo Cerckel
honestmoney@maktoob.com
http://twitter.com/ivocerckel/

NOTE

(1)
Saudi banking system ’solid’ – IMF
by AFP  on Tuesday, 18 August 2009
http://www.arabianbusiness.com/565243
SNIP
“The banking system has weathered the global crisis. It remains profitable and well-capitalised with low non-performing loans.”

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Glenn Audenaert tegen Robert Peeters – Update 1

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 19th August 2009

In the Belgian judge De Tandt corruption case, lawyer Peeters uncovered taxable basis so that bureaucrat Audenaert can be maintained alive. Bureaucrat angry at lawyer. Solution is to have the territory of the Kingdom of Belgium re-annexated by the Kingdom of the Netherlands.

Update 1 voegt de oplossing eraan toe.

Glenn Audenaert, hoofd van de gerechtelijke politie van het Koninkrijk België, wordt betaald d.m.v. belastingen (op “wit” geld).

Audenaert is kwaad op advocaat Robert Peeters
niet omdat Peeters vonnissen opstelt voor rechter De Tandt
maar omdat Peeters zwart geld bovenhaalt bij vrienden van Audenaert.

Wenst Audenaert niet langer betaald?

Of denkt Audenaert dat de Belgische Staat hem kan betalen zonder belastingen?

Hoe kan dat nou?

De oplossing bestaat erin om over te gaan tot tot de onmiddellijke her-annexering door het Koninkrijk der Nederlanden van het grondgebied van het Koninkrijk België dat zonder belastingen toch niet kan overleven..

De Belgische onderdanen zullen de Hollanders dankbaar zijn om hen (de Belgen) van de afgrond geholpen te hebben door hen (weer die domme Belgen) toe te laten belastingen te betalen.

Ivo Cerckel
honestmoney@maktoob.com
http://twitter.com/ivocerckel/

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Convertible yuan will be reserve currency – Hans Redeker – Update 1

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 18th August 2009

Update 1 adds what this blogger said yesterday and what he said six years ago.

Once the Chinese yuan will be convertible,
it will be this planet’s reserve currency,
says Hans Redeker, global head of FX strategy at BNP Paribas,
answering readers’ questions on the many faces, including its future-or-not as reserve currency, of the US dollar in the Financial Times.

The many faces of the dollar
Published: August 11 2009 14:23 | Last updated: August 17 2009 14:59
SNIP
Hans Redeker, global head of FX strategy at BNP Paribas, answering readers’ questions on the many faces of the US dollar on Monday August 17
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/cc90cc8c-8679-11de-9e8e-00144feabdc0.html
SNIP
The dollar is still the world’s major reserve currency with latest IMF data suggesting 62 per cent of the world’s currency reserves held in dollars. [...]
The discussion concerning the reallocation of currency reserves out of dollars misses another important point: Namely, which currency qualifies as the next reserve currency?
The euro has balanced foreign balances, but has no surpluses. China has massive surpluses, but its currency is NOT CONVERTIBLE. The ruble does not qualify due to its unstable domestic banking system. In short, as long as China runs a regulated currency regime there is no credible alternative to the dollar as a reserve currency.
Summing up: In the next couple of years, the dollar should be steadier than many may think today. UNSNIP

AS I SAID YESTERDAY:
[…] China and the Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) […are] decoupling from the West.
The decoupling process may be strengthened by an emerging hard currency in the region, China’s yuan. (1)

AS I SAID SIX YEARS AGO:
With Chinese Freegold from a reserve currency to a world standard (2)

Ivo Cerckel
honestmoney@maktoob.com
http://twitter.com/ivocerckel/

NOTES

(1)
Yuan, not Gleco, will prevent Asian Greater Depression
Posted by Ivo Cerckel on August 17th, 2009
http://bphouse.com/honest_money/2009/08/17/yuan-not-gleco-will-prevent-asian-greater-depression/
[If the link does not work, try to copy it and paste it in your browser]
       
(2)
With Chinese Freegold from a reserve currency to a world standard
Tuesday, 2 September 2003
http://www.free-europe.org/english/2003/09/with-chinese-freegold-from-a-reserve-currency-to-a-world-standard/
Please replace “derivates” in the text with “derivatives”

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