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Archive for April 18th, 2009

Fractional-reserve banking revisited

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 18th April 2009

Harry Browne says that a bank earns its living by taking money in from depositors, and lending the money to its customers or investing it,
that the bank’s gross profit is the difference between the interest it earns and the interest it pays,
and that because a bank generally can earn a greater return on loans than on investment,
it will lend out as much of its money as it dares.
A bank fails when it doesn’t have enough cash available to pay the depositors who want to withdraw their money – even if the bank’s assets are worth enough money to pay everyone eventually.
Matching maturities, LIQUIDITY, the availability of enough cash (or assets that can be converted to cash immediately) to honour all withdrawal requests is the key for a bank, says Browne. To be liquid, a bank doesn’t need to have all its money in the vault.
But it does need to arrange its loans and investments to allow for the promises that the bank has made to its depositors.
The virtue of “matching maturities” – matching one year loans to one year deposits and so on – is a lesson taught in basic college finance classes.
And it is simple common sense. But unfortunately, American banks don’t do business that way. But a bank with mismatched maturities is however bank an illiquid bank, says Browne (1)

Browne does not seem to discuss money creation by banks.

Money creation by banks was outlined by Ludwig von Mises and the outline is still being refined by his student Dr George Reisman.
http://www.georgereisman.com/blog/

Here’s how I would revisit fractional-reserve banking. (2)

Reisman says that it is impossible to understand the extent to which the government has increased the quantity of money without understanding how the government has encouraged the creation of money by the private banking system. Therefore, says Reisman, we must deal here with the question how the government has encouraged the existence of what Ludwig von MISES calls FIDUCIARY MEDIA which set up money and debt like a house of cards or row of dominoes that any breeze can knock over.

Mises gives the name of MONEY SUBSTITUTES and not that of money
to those objects that are employed like money in commerce
but consist in perfectly secure and immediately convertible CLAIMS to money.

For Mises,
MONEY CERTIFICATES = those money substitutes that are completely covered by the reservation of corresponding sums of money.

For Mises,
FIDUCIARY MEDIA = those which are not covered in this way.

Fiduciary media are transferable claims to standard money payable by the issuer on demand and accepted in commerce as the equivalent of standard money but for which no standard money actually exists, says Reisman.

The larger part of our money supply today consists of fiduciary media in the form of CHECKING DEPOSITS
VERSUS
STANDARD MONEY = money that is NOT itself a CLAIM to anything further. It possesses ultimate debt-paying power, in that when it is received, no further claim to be paid is present.
Under a gold standard, standard money is gold. Any paper money that exists is a claim to it.
Under a system of irredeemable paper money – fiat money- the irredeemable paper money is standard money, says Reisman,

One quote, because this may become important in our later analysis, Mises, “Human Action”, third revised edition, p. 434
The term credit expansion has often been misinterpreted. It is important to realize that commodity credit cannot be expanded. The only vehicle of credit expansion is circulation credit. But the granting of circulation credit does not always mean credit expansion. If the amount of fiduciary media previously issued has consummated all its effects upon the market, if prices, wage rates, and interest rates have been adjusted to the total supply of money proper plus fiduciary media (supply of money in the broader sense), granting of circulation credit without a further increase in the quantity of fiduciary media is no longer credit expansion. Credit expansion is present only if credit is granted by the issue of an additional amount of fiduciary media, not if banks lend anew fiduciary media paid back to them by the old debtors. (3)

Ivo Cerckel
ivocerckel@siquijor.ws

NOTES

(1)
Harry Browne, “The Economic Time Bomb”, New York, St Martin’s Press, 1989, p. 10
Many banks have a smaller net worth than you do.
If they tried to pay of all their depositors, they would have little money left/

Browne, p. 47
A banking crisis would touch you much more directly than the other crises.

Browne, pp. 49 – 50
A bank earns its living by taking money in from depositors, and lending the money to its customers or investing it.
The bank’s gross profit is the difference between the interest it earns and the interest it pays.

A bank’s assets are its cash holdings, its outstanding loans (the money owed to it by borrowers and its investments.)
its main liabilities are its outstanding deposits  – money it owes to its depositors.

Because banks generally can earn a greater return on loans than on investment,
it will lend out as much of its money as it dares.
a bank may tie up nearly all of its assets in loans – if it’s confident that only a few of its depositors will want to withdraw their money on any day or in any short period.
A bank fails when it doesn’t have enough cash available to pay the depositors who want to withdraw their money – even if the bank’s assets are worth enough money to pay everyone eventually

Browne, p. 50
§ MATCHING MATURITIES

for a bank, LIQUIDITY is the key
the availability of enough cash  (or assets that can be converted to cash immediately) to honour all withdrawal requests

To be liquid, a bank doesn’t need to have all its money in the vault.
But it does need to arrange its loans and investments to allow for the promises that the bank has made to its depositors.

Browne, p. 51
§ IN PRACTICE
The virtue of “matching maturities” – matching one year loans to one year deposits and so on – is a lesson taught in basic college finance classes.
And it is simple common sense.

But unfortunately, American banks don’t do  business that way
-    this is done in order to increase banks’ profit margins

But a bank with MISMATCHED MATURITIES is an ILLIQUID bank.

(2)
My sources are

Ludwig Von Mises, “The Theory of Money and Credit”, Indianapolis, Liberty Classics, 1980, (the original second German-language edition of this book was published in 1924), pp. 65  and p. 155

Ludwig von Mises, “Human Action – A Treatise on Economics”, Chicago, Contemporary Books, 1966, (originally published 1949), 3rd. rev. ed., p. 432 – 434

George Reisman, “Capitalism – A Treatise on Economics”, Ottawa, Illinois: Jameson Books, 1998, pp. 511-513

(3)
Ludwig von Mises, “Human Action – A Treatise on Economics”, Chicago, Contemporary Books, 1966, (originally published 1949), 3rd. rev. ed., p. 434

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Stress Tests and Lack of Confidence revisited

Posted by Ivo Cerckel on 18th April 2009

Investors are worried that the financial system is going to collapse and that US of A banks do not have sufficient capital to bear the consequences of their previous mistakes.

To reassure investors that this is not the case, the US of A Treasury is now subjecting banks to “stress tests”. The results of this exercise – to determine whether the banks have enough money to stay afloat in a range of scenarios – are due to be announced by the end of the month, says an editorial this week in the Financial Times. (1) The bureaucrats of the US of A government want to avoid a disorderly situation in which the stronger banks advertise the results of their stress tests while weaker banks resist doing so. This could further stigmatise the weaker banks and lead to an additional loss of CONFIDENCE. (2)

This was the late European Central Bank president Dr. Willem F. Duisenberg in May 2002:
What is money? Economists know that money is defined by the functions it performs, as a means of exchange, a unit of account and a store of value. But, just as importantly, money is also defined by the community for whom it performs these functions. Because it is an economic instrument for each of its users, it is also a political and cultural bond between them. Consider this simple fact: we engage in an exchange of goods and services everyday by using money as the means of exchange; and we offer our labour in exchange for money, which, in itself, has no value.
We only do this because we believe that we will, in turn, be able to exchange that money for more goods or services. This fact tells us much about the CONFIDENCE that we place in money itself. And it tells us much more about the confidence that we place in each other. Hence, money is, in essence, a social contract.
The euro, probably more than any other currency, represents the mutual CONFIDENCE at the heart of our community. It is the first currency that has not only severed its link to gold, but also its link to the nation-state. (3)

Dr Nouriel Roubini has already drawn our attention to the fact that the actual macro data are already worse than the more adverse scenario for 2009 in the stress tests. So the stress tests fail the basic criterion of reality check even before they are concluded. (4)

We can have the utmost confidence that the stress tests are a further exercise in deceit by the bureaucrats of the US of A guv’mint.

Nobel Prize winner Joseph Stiglitz points out that some of that guv’mint’s advisers have close ties to Wall Street. Hence, that guv’mint’s plan to fix the US of A banking system have been designed to help Wall Street rather than create a viable financial system. And hence, we can have the utmost confidence that that guv’mint’s plan to fix the US of A banking system is destined to fail. (5) (6)

Ivo Cerckel
ivocerckel@siquijor.ws

NOTES

(1)
Capitol capital
Published: April 16 2009 19:32 | Last updated: April 16 2009 19:32
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b3dffd90-2ab0-11de-8415-00144feabdc0.html

(2)
Jobless put new slant on stress tests
By Krishna Guha in Washington
Published: April 17 2009 22:00 | Last updated: April 17 2009 23:01
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/ca1f86da-2b77-11de-b806-00144feabdc0.html

(3)
International Charlemagne Prize of Aachen for 2002
Acceptance speech by Dr. Willem F. Duisenberg, President of the European Central Bank, Aachen, 9 May 2002
http://www.ecb.eu/press/key/date/2002/html/sp020509.en.html
http://bphouse.com/honest_money/2008/09/03/

(4)
Stress Testing the Stress Test Scenarios: Actual Macro Data Are Already Worse than the More Adverse Scenario for 2009 in the Stress Tests. So the Stress Tests Fail the Basic Criterion of Reality Check Even Before They Are Concluded
Nouriel Roubini’s Global EconoMonitor Apr 13, 2009
http://www.rgemonitor.com/roubini-monitor/256382/stress_testing_the_stress_test_scenarios_actual_macro_data_are_already_worse_than_the_more_adverse_scenario_for_2009_in_the_stress_tests_so_the_stress_tests_fail_the_basic_criterion_of_reality_check_even_before_they_are_concluded

(5)
Nobel Prize winner Joseph Stiglitz says Wall St ties threaten bank-rescue plan
Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz has warned the US bank-rescue plan is likely to fail as its architects are either in the “pocket of the banks or incompetent”.
By Telegraph Staff
Last Updated: 12:35PM BST 17 Apr 2009
http://www.telegraph.co.uk:80/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/5169582/Nobel-Prize-winner-Joseph-Stiglitz-says-Wall-St-ties-threaten-bank-rescue-plan.html
Nobel Prize winner Joseph Stiglitz criticises bank-rescue plan
SNIP
Mr Stiglitz, who won the Nobel prize in 2001 said the Troubled Asset Relief Program, which will see the Government purchase assets and equity from financial institutions was not large enough to recapitalise the banking system and had been compromised because some of President Obama’s advisers had close ties to Wall Street.

(6)
Stiglitz Says White House Ties to Wall Street Doom Bank Rescue
By Michael McKee and Matthew Benjamin
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ahnPchOxZMh8&refer=home
SNIP
April 16 (Bloomberg) — The Obama administration’s plan to fix the U.S. banking system is destined to fail because the programs have been designed to help Wall Street rather than create a viable financial system, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz said.

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